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much to report. We lost two days of work due to a technical issue. Will catch up. Outside markets dictated movement today.




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  • Australia
    temperatures were hot during the weekend with most summer crop and livestock areas in Queensland and New South Wales reporting extreme highs of 95 to 110 degrees Fahrenheit
    • Some
      of the heat will prevail over the coming week
    • Hot
      temperatures will also occur broadly in interior Western Australia, interior South Australia and northwestern
  • U.S.
    frost and freezes occurred this morning as far to the south as the interior southern part of Louisiana, southern Mississippi and western portions of the Florida Panhandle
    • Damage
      to early planted and emerged corn, some winter wheat and some flowering fruit trees was suspected IN THE Delta and possibly in parts of the Tennessee River Basin
    • Much
      warmer weather will return to the southern Plains, Delta and southeastern states as this week progresses
      • Extreme
        highs in the 70s and 80s are likely once again as soon as mid-week
  • India
    received scattered showers and thunderstorms during the weekend benefiting the quality of late season crops, but the moisture came too late to improve production except for a few rice and sugarcane areas in the southeast
    • Rainfall
      varied from 0.10 to 0.72 inch with a few local totals of 1.00 to 2.00 inches and coverage of 75-80%
    • Temperatures
      were cooler than usual
  • India
    will receive additional rain in the north and east parts of the nation through the coming week with another system possible in about ten days
    • Some
      wheat areas will get enough rain to raise a quality concern from Punjab and Uttarakhand and Uttar Pradesh through the Ganges River Basin
    • Rain
      in Bangladesh, the far Eastern States of India and some eastern coastal areas during the weekend will benefit a few late season crops, but much of it comes too late for a lasting impact
      • Rice
        and sugarcane will benefit most
  • China
    rain during the weekend was greatest in the Yangtze River Basin where 2.50 to more than 6.00 inches resulted through 0001 GMT today in areas from northern Hunan to Jiangxi and a part of Zhejiang
    • Local
      flooding was suspected, but little crop damage resulted
    • Moisture
      totals in the remainder of the Yangtze River Basin varied from 0.10 to 1.00 inch with a few locally greater amounts
    • The
      remainder of the nation was mostly dry and mild to cool, although a few showers in northern Shanxi and central Hebei produced 0.20 to 1.00 inch of moisture, although the 1.00 inch was not confirmed.
  • China
    rainfall over the next ten days will be greatest in the Yangtze River Basin and southern coastal provinces benefiting rapeseed development and early season rice
    • Rain
      totals of 3.00 to 8.00 inches may occur near and south of the Yangtze River reaching into Guangdong, Fujian and Zhejiang
    • Limited
      precipitation in the lower Yellow River Basin and North China Plain will leave some wheat areas in need or greater precipitation especially in April
  • Cooling
    is expected in eastern China late this week into next week which may help to slow drying rates in winter wheat areas of the north and conserve soil moisture in the south
  • Latest
    data on the negative phase of Pacific Decadal Oscillation shows another week of intensification with greater cooling off the west coast of North America while the north-central Pacific Ocean trended warmer
  • Notable
    ocean water cooling is also occurring in the western equatorial Pacific Ocean and that will soon start reducing rainfall in Indonesia and Malaysia



  • Argentina’s
    weather is leaning toward improvement with heavy rain in southern Buenos Aires during the weekend and more rain expected this week and weekend in the central and some northern crop areas
    • Rainfall
      in the south half of Buenos Aires ranged from 1.00 to 2.25 inches with local totals well over 3.00 inches
      • Coronel
        Suarez, Buenos Aires reported 5.20 inches and Dolores, Buenos Aires reported 3.94 inches
    • Not
      much other rain fell elsewhere, although rain also fell in east-central La Pampa and in portions of Chaco, Corrientes and Formosa where 0.10 to 1.00 inch was common and local totals over 2.00 inches
    • The
      heart of Argentina was dry
    • Temperatures
      were warm early in the weekend with highs in the 90s Fahrenheit except in far southern La Pampa and southern Buenos Aires where the 70s and lower 80s were noted.
      • Extreme
        highs reached over 100 in western Santiago del Estero
  • Central
    Argentina will receive badly needed rain Tuesday into Thursday with some follow up showers there and in the northern part of the nation during the weekend and next week
    • Total
      rainfall over the ten days ending Wednesday, March 30 will range from 2.00 to 5.00 inches from Cordoba to Entre Rios and Uruguay
      • Some
        models suggest more than 8.00 inches of rain might occur collectively through the entire 10-day period
        • Be
          sure to keep in mind major droughts often break with excessive rain events
    • Heavy
      rain is also expected in Salta, Santiago Del Estero and western parts of Formosa where 2.00 to 4.00 inches may result
    • Rainfall
      in the remainder of northern Argentina will vary from 1.00 to 3.00 inches
    • Buenos
      Aires and La Pampa will receive 0.30 to 1.00 inch of additional rain with a few amounts to 1.50 inches
    • Temperatures
      will trend cooler this week as the greater rain falls, but northern areas will likely heat back above normal again next week
  • Argentina’s
    bottom line is one of definite improvement. Heavy rain in the south during the weekend and that which had occurred in the previous week to ten days should have seriously improved short and long term soil moisture. Central Argentina was still too hot and dry
    during the weekend and crop stress remained extremely strong and further pressured late season crop yields lower in Santa Fe and Entre Rios as well as eastern Cordoba. Central Argentina will get relief from the heat and dryness during mid-week this week with
    cooler temperatures and a general soaking rain. Much of the rain falling this week and that which occurred during the weekend comes too late to seriously improve production potentials, but some of the late season crops that have had some periodic rain in recent
    weeks may have benefited and could yield higher. Most of the nation’s production has been cut and cannot recover due to the lateness of the season.
  • Brazil
    weather continued to improve for late season soybean harvesting and late Safrinha corn planting during the weekend as very little rain fell from Parana and southern Mato Grosso do Sul through Sao Paulo to southern Minas Gerais
    • Rain
      farther to the north in Mato Grosso do Sul and Goias was light and sporadic enough to allow some fieldwork to advance around the precipitation
    • Temperatures
      were seasonable to slightly cooler than usual
  • Brazil’s
    limited rainfall from Parana and southern Mato Grosso do Sul to Minas Gerais will continue through Friday of this week and then showers will slowly resume again
    • The
      break from frequent rain during the weekend and that which occurs this week should be sufficient to get most of the remaining Safrinha corn planted
  • Northern
    Brazil rainfall will continue frequent enough to maintain moisture abundance from Mato Grosso to Tocantins, Maranhao and Piaui through the next ten days.
    • Some
      delay to harvesting in Tocantins, Maranhao and Piaui will occur until drier weather evolves
  • Rio
    Grande do Sul, Brazil should get some timely rainfall over the next two weeks to support late season crops.
    • Some
      of the rain may be heavy in time
  • Brazil’s
    bottom line is one of improvement for the harvest of late soybeans and Safrinha corn in center south, although some delay will occur in parts of the northeast. The weather will also provide a better environment for early season wheat planting in the interior
    south and Rio Grande do Sul late season summer crop conditions should improve with the timely rainfall that is advertised for the second half of this week and into next week.
  • North
    Africa dryness will continue through the next ten days raising some crop moisture stress especially as temperatures trend warmer late this week and into the weekend
  • CIS
    precipitation decreased during the weekend especially in the west which may have helped reduce flooding as snow continued to melt.
    • Nighttime
      temperatures were cold enough to slow runoff as well
  • CIS
    temperatures will continue warmer than usual in the west over the next week to ten days
    • Precipitation
      will be restricted this workweek, but it will increase during the weekend and next week raising runoff once again
      • Some
        additional flooding will occur as temperatures trend warmer and precipitation increases once again
  • Weekend
    Europe precipitation was mostly concentrated on western and northern France and the U.K. where moisture totals varied up to 0.50 inch
    • Net
      drying occurred elsewhere
    • Temperatures
      were warmer than usual
  • Europe
    will continue warmer and drier than usual early this week and then precipitation will increase in the north and west-central parts of the continent late this week into next week
    • Temperatures
      will begin cooling next week as precipitation increases
    • Eastern
      Spain will remain one of the driest areas in the continent for a while possibly threatening dryland winter crops and some of the planting of spring crops
  • West-central
    Africa precipitation will be sporadic and light early this week, but will increase late this week and continue into next week
    • Recent
      precipitation has been lighter than usual and temperatures warmer biased raising some concern over crop development
    • Rain
      later this week into next week will be very important for coffee, cocoa, rice and sugarcane
  • Australia
    temperatures heated well above normal during the weekend while dry weather prevailed in most summer crop areas
  • Australia
    rainfall will resume in the southeast during mid- to late week this week and then to southeastern Queensland and northeastern New South Wales next week
    • Temperatures
      will continue warmer than usual this week and then trend a little cooler this weekend and next week – at least in eastern crop areas
  • Mexico
    is still dealing with a winter drought and there is need for precipitation to support corn, sorghum and cotton in unirrigated areas
    • There
      is also need for moisture in some citrus and sugarcane areas, although the situation for these two crops is not critical outside of the far northeast part of the nation
  • Central
    America rainfall will be greatest in Guatemala and from Costa Rica to Panama during the next ten days
    • Net
      drying is likely in Honduras and Nicaragua
  • Drought
    continues a concern in Canada’s southwestern Prairies
    • Some
      snow fell earlier this month in a part of the drought region, but snow water equivalents were not great enough to offer a tremendous improvement, although some benefit did occur as the snow melted
    • Not
      much precipitation of significance will occur in the dry areas over the next week, although some light precipitation will be possible infrequently
    • Greater
      precipitation may occur in the last days of March and early April
  • Drought
    in the U.S. western Plains is the most serious out of all dryness in North America, but it could also be fixed faster than some other areas because “normal” rainfall is not all that great
    • Dryness
      is most serious from West Texas cotton and wheat areas north into western Kansas and eastern Colorado, although a part of the region from western Nebraska to Montana is also considered to be too dry
      • Relief
        from dryness in the southwestern Plains is unlikely in the next ten days and probably longer
      • Some
        rain and snow will fall in Nebraska, Kansas and Colorado periodically over the next ten days, but serious relief from drought may be difficult to come by
        • “Partial”
          relief from dryness is possible in “some” areas
  • U.S.
    southeastern states had been drying out in recent weeks, but the region has not been seriously impacted except in Florida where drought is a concern for long term crop development
    • Relief
      is expected in the interior southeastern parts of the United States in the coming ten days to two weeks with rain likely in many areas, but some areas will get more rain than others
      • Florida
        will get the least amount of rain and will continue notably drier biased
  • Southern
    U.S. Plains, Delta and southeastern States to be quick in heating back up this week with 70- and 80-degree highs expected by mid-week
  • South
    Texas and the Texas Coastal Bend planting of corn, sorghum and some cotton is underway, but dryland production areas (especially in the south) need significant rain
    • Some
      precipitation is expected over the next ten days, but it has been reduced from that of last week and much more will be needed to bolster soil moisture for long term crop development especially in unirrigated areas
  • Portions
    of the U.S. Midwest, Delta and Tennessee River Basin are quite wet and need drier weather to improve planting conditions in the next few weeks
  • The
    U.S. Red River Basin of the North and portions of the upper Mississippi River Basin have tremendous amounts of snow on the ground and could experience some flooding if the snow melts too fast while significant rain falls in the region later this spring
    • No
      such forecast has been made for the coming two weeks, but cool temperatures will leave much of the snow in place raising the potential that when it does warm up the snow may melt fast resulting a sudden turn toward flooding
    • Another
      round of snow is expected Tuesday and Wednesday of this week with 3 to 8 inches of new accumulation possible in parts of the region
    • One
      more wave of snow is expected late Wednesday night and Thursday in South Dakota and southern Minnesota with 2 to 6 inches of accumulation and locally more possible
    • The
      next precipitation event is due into the region during mid-week next week
  • California
    and western parts of both Washington and Oregon are very wet and there is potential for flooding this spring as the deep snowpack in the mountains melts
    • Frequent
      waves of snow and mountain rain will continue maintaining concern over the runoff from melting snow later this spring
  • South
    Africa crop weather has been very good this year, although the nation is drying out now
    • Early
      season maturation and harvesting should go well
    • Late
      season crops will need some beneficial moisture later this season
      • Rain
        prospects on fair over the next ten days, but the precipitation should be erratic and often lighter than usual
  • Southeastern
    Canada’s corn, wheat and soybean production region is favorably moist and poised for a good start to spring, although fieldwork is still a few weeks away
  • Turkey
    will receive frequent bouts of rain over the next ten days bolstering soil moisture for wheat development and rice and cotton planting
    • Portions
      of the nation are already wet after weekend rain and mountain snow
    • Other
      spring planting will benefit from the coming moisture boost
  • Other
    areas in the Middle East will also experience a boost in precipitation
    • Syria,
      northern Iraq and much of Iran will receive significant rainfall as will some areas in Afghanistan and northern Pakistan
  • Philippines
    rainfall will be light to locally moderate most days through the coming week
    • Weather
      conditions in the next ten days should be mostly good for the nation, although the south may eventually turn quite wet
  • Indonesia
    and Malaysia rainfall will occur abundantly during the next two weeks with all areas impacted and no area experiencing much net drying
  • Mainland
    areas of Southeast Asia will receive very little rain of significance through Sunday, but a notable boost in rain may occur in the last days of this month
  • Eastern
    Africa precipitation is expected to scatter from Tanzania to Ethiopia over the next ten days
    • The
      moisture will be good for ongoing crop development